huck you
Jimmy Rollins Smokes Crack
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=87UBTlYcCW0
All insults and jocular videos above aside, I do not believe in doing a preview for a series by simply comparing which team has a better player at position x. Last time I checked, Jimmy Rollins is not going to be hitting the pitches of Derek Jeter so which team has a better player at a particular position hardly seems relevant. Rather, the best approach to analyzing this series is to analyze each game in terms of a given pitcher against a particular lineup on both sides of the ledger and to see which team will hit each pitcher more. So without further adieu....
1) Game 1- (a) C.C Sabathia vs. the Phillies- I think C.C is very solid but not great. The Phillies will figure out a way to scratch 3 runs off CC. (b) Cliff Lee vs. the Yankees- I think the Yankees will produce a similar stat line against Lee. It will hit a solo home run or three and that will be all. So this game figures to be about 3-3 going into the team's bullpens. (c) This is where New York boasts a significant advantage.Yes, both teams have mediocre setup men but New York obviously has a far superior closer. Therefore, New York wins game 1 on a walk-off hit of some variety winning 4-3.
2) Game 2- (a) A.J. Burnett vs. the Phillies- Allen James will be a bit off early. He may essentially walk home 2-3 runs over the first 3 innings. However, he will become relaxed and settle in because.... (b) Pedro vs. the Yankees- Petey will get absolutely rocked by New York's offense. This entire team has seem him plenty of times and guys like Jorge and Jeter have gotten key hits off him in many a big game. New York wins 9-4
3) Game 3- (a) Andy Pettite vs. the Phillies- I think Andy's magic runs out a bit in game 3. He will be fairly effective but will be vulnerable to the long ball as he was in the regular season and give up a few home runs, maybe with men on base, but will be solid otherwise. He probably goes 6 and 2/3 and gives up 3-4 runs. (b) Cole Hamels vs. the Yankees- Hamels will do well against a Yankee lineup which, although not nearly as lefty laden as it once was, still seems to struggle a bit more vs. lefties than it does against righties. He will rise to the occasion and make sure his team does not go down 3-0 in the series and give up maybe 2 runs in 7innings. (c) The game gets out of hand when Joba or Hughes gets rocked in the 7th or 8th. The Phillies win something like 7-2
4) Game 4 (assumption that Girardi ends up sticking with 3 man rotation and same for Philly)- (a) C.C. Sabathia vs. the Phillies- I think C.C. pitches brilliantly in game 4. He pitches better as this game will be huge for New York. He will dial up a little extra on his heater and take a little extra off his change-up as the innings progress. He will go 8 innings and give up 1 run. (b) Cliff Lee vs. the Yankees- Cliff will pitch pretty well but the Yankees will make him throw pitches out of the strike-zone after he is scared into doing so based on early Yankee hits. He will go 6 innings and give up 3 runs or so. (c) This game then will just be about the two best Yankee pitchers, CC and Mo being dominant and just a tad better than the Philly ace and setup core. Yankees will win 4-1
5) Game 5 (assumption that Girardi ends up sticking with 3 man rotation and same for Philly)- (a) A.J. Burnett vs. the Phillies- I think the 3 days rest factor will play heavily in AJ's favor. He often is over amped for big games which causes him to overthrow and miss wildly. I think the one less day of rest will force him to rely more on control and less on pure heat. He will be very good and go 7 innings and allow 2-3 runs. (b) Pedro does not pitch well but manages to keep his team in the game temporarily. He probably goes 5 and 2/3 innings and gives up 4 runs. (c) The Yankees will beat up on the Philly bullpen and end up winning going away and will capture its 27th title. The Yankees win game 5 and the series 8-3
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